Tuesday, June 2, 2020

Corona Daily 432: Coronavirus Detectives


If you are looking for a new profession these days, an interesting one is that of a Contact Tracer. The world will need a few million of these over the next two years.

“Testing. Tracing. Isolation.” An emerging worldwide consensus terms this as the only strategy to combat the virus, to flatten the curve. Contact tracing is locating where the virus might strike next. By warning, quarantining and isolating likely patients, the transmission chain is broken.

It starts with a caller working from home or a call center talking to a patient over the phone. The caller may speak for up to 30 minutes trying to recreate the last few days of the patient. This is a delicate task. Without ever meeting him, the caller is asking the patient to disclose his private life. All the places the patient visited, and all the people he came in contact with.

The only contacts considered are face-to-face contact, with a distance of less than six feet, for 15 minutes or more. As the patient recalls each of them, the contact tracer records them. If 15 such people are found, the tracer starts calling each of them. The rule is to never disclose who gave the name (in this case, the patient).
*****

Contact tracing is easier in small countries, and in dictatorships. Singapore is both.

M, a Singaporean woman got one such call. ‘Were you in a taxi at 18.47 on Wednesday?’ The question was so precise, M panicked, but she confirmed. Next day three people in protective gear turned up at her house. One of them produced a contract. It prescribed the quarantine period, and mentioned the amount of fine and prison sentence for breach of contract. M never learnt if it was the taxi driver or another passenger in the same taxi who had tested positive.
*****

In Iceland, Europe’s most sparsely populated country with 364,000 citizens; the first contact tracer was Evar Palmi Palmason, a police detective. He formed a team with two cops, two nurses and a criminologist, even before Iceland’s first case. When they heard of the first suspect, Palmason used the same techniques he uses in his detective work. The tracing produced 56 names. By midnight, all of them were contacted and asked to quarantine themselves for two weeks. As cases in Iceland grew rapidly, the team grew as well, eventually to 52 members.

One patient had attended a concert. Palmason used his police training to find everyone who attended that concert, and sent all of them into quarantine.

Iceland successfully flattened the curve. It had ten deaths in all, and nobody has died since 19 April.
*****

South Korea has used a combination of credit card data, CCTV records, and smartphone locations. Countries using phone apps have realized the apps can only support but can’t replace human tracing. Contact tracing has been used for measles, food poisoning outbreaks, AIDS and syphilis. The requirement in the current pandemic, though, is high.

The USA and UK are just starting. USA needs 180,000 contact tracers, but has only 25,000. UK fewer than that.

An interesting profession that combines the work of a detective, social worker, salesman and data collector.  Job guaranteed for the next 24 months.

Ravi

2 comments:

  1. फारच छान. ज्याला काम करायचे असतं तो कुठल्याही परिस्थितीत स्वस्थ बसत नाही

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