I call Cuba the museum of Communism. My Russian friends, who have visited Cuba, confirm it. Unlike China, Cuba has remained faithful to the Soviet communist model. The fall of USSR in 1991 was the first big shock to Cuba. The Soviets were always willing to finance and subsidize the island situated so close to their arch-enemy. The second great shock was last year, when the pandemic began.
Currently, Cuba faces an unprecedented food crisis. Grocery
shops are empty. People try to find food in the black market, online or
offline. 70% of the food is imported. With the Cuban peso going down, prices
are prohibitive. Farmers refuse to sell because they want to eat the food they
grow.
On 24 June, the UN general assembly condemned US sanctions
on Cuba. All countries except the USA and Israel condemn the sanctions. Such
condemnation changes nothing for ordinary Cubans. This annual ritual has been
going on since 1992.
*****
In 2001, sanctions exempted food. US became the
largest exporter of food to Cuba. In the last twenty years, exports were the
lowest in 2020. Because the Cuban government has no hard currency to pay for
food. Cuba relies on more than 4 million foreign tourists to bring in respectable
currencies. Tourism, 10% of Cuba’s GDP, disappeared in the pandemic. Till last
March, there were ten daily flights between Miami and Havana. Now, one needs to
search for a flight.
As if this was not enough, Cuba suffered a drought
last year. Dollar shortage already meant fertilizer and fuel shortage. Sugar
harvest, Cuba’s main export, was the worst in the last 100 years.
Food producing companies in Cuba earn in Pesos, pieces
of paper that are worthless outside Cuba. But the same companies must pay for
imports in hard currency. Farmers, by law, must sell their harvest to the
government at uncompetitive prices.
State owned bakeries, and most of them are state
owned, are replacing imported wheat flour with local corn, pumpkin or yucca.
Consumers complain bread now tastes like soggy corn. Some cities have banned
sale of biscuits to save on flour imports.
Fuel and trucks are both in shortage. Domestic
transport of the imported food is a challenge. What took two weeks from the USA
in the past now takes four months. In the process, wastage is high.
*****
Government is becoming desperate for American $. Since
February, foreigners and some Cubans must pay the seven day mandatory
quarantine stay in US $. Cubans living abroad are encouraged to pay online in
dollars to buy food or gifts for their relatives and friends in Cuba. (One
consultant commented that Cuba has 11 million hostages, and Cuban exiles are
asked to pay the ransom.)
On 10 June, the central bank of Cuba announced Cubans
were prohibited from depositing US$ into accounts from 21 June. In a communist
country, US$ is the currency of the black markets as well as savings of the
ordinary people. The panicked Cubans queued outside banks for days. This was
the government’s attempt to suck all the dollars into the banking system.
Cuba owes some $3.5 billion to foreign lenders. For
the last two years, Cuba has been unable to make payments. In June, Ricardo
Cabrisas, Cuba’s deputy prime minister, was in Paris trying to renegotiate the
debt. An ultimatum from the creditors was possibly the reason behind Cuba trying
to collect US $ from ordinary citizens.
*****
The silver lining is Cuba’s health system. Cuba is the
world’s smallest nation to develop vaccines, not one but many. Its ambition is
to produce enough to inoculate its 11 million citizens, and then export to
friendly nations like Venezuela and Iran. (Enemy’s enemy is a friend).
Since Fidel Castro’s time, Cuba has invested
disproportionately in public health. The government spends $300-400 per person
on health care. Unfortunately, a Cuban doctor is paid $64 a month, and told he
belongs to a noble profession.
Trump, in his last weeks in office, reclassified Cuba
as a State sponsor of International terrorism. This has restricted its access
to simple things like syringes. Cuba requires 30 million syringes for its
vaccination campaign, but has managed to procure only 10 million.
*****
Cuba is a tragic example of how ordinary citizens
suffer in a defective political system. Ideology can never feed people.
Ravi
Maybe you can suggest how you would be fixing this supposed "defective political system" so that Cuba can be a prosperous nation like its neighbours with progressive systems - Gautemala, Nicaragua, Panama, Colombia.
ReplyDeleteThe neighbours you mention are not aspirational benchmarks. USA is also Cuba's neighbour.
DeleteCuba can take a model like Costa Rica with a stable democracy, market economy and educated population.
Looks like you did not notice the sarcasm - https://countryeconomy.com/countries/compare/cuba/costa-rica
DeleteIn particular look at the defense expenditure - Cuba $2.87B versus Costa Rica 0 (yes, zero).
Thanks for supporting the argument with data. Indeed if Cuban people don't have enough to eat, what is the point of spending $2.87 billion on defence?
Deleteभीषण वास्तव
ReplyDeleteA horrible situation for the Cubans. And all down to politics
ReplyDeleteVery sad consequence of a static approach... they should have pivoted to market economics like China did decades ago.
ReplyDeleteLobh...